The Intergovernmental Authority on Development Climate Prediction and Applications Center (ICPAC) has forecasted wetter than usual for the month of July 2020.
According to ICPAC, areas to receive wetter than usual rainfall are the Karamoja Cluster, southeastern Ethiopia, northern Sudan as well as much of Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Eritrea, Rwanda, Burundi, and Sudan.
“A drier than usual month of July expected over much of Tanzania; southern and coastal Kenya; areas in southern and southwestern Uganda; northwestern South Sudan; parts of western Ethiopia, and isolated areas in central Somalia.” says a press release by ICPAC on Wednesday June 24, 2020
ICPAC is part of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) in Eastern Africa. Its mission is to foster, through a whole set of programs, sub-regional and national capacity for climate information, prediction products and services, early warning, and related applications as a contribution to sustainable development in the IGAD sub-region.
On the temperature forecast, ICPAC said warmer than usual temperatures are expected over Tanzania; southern and eastern Kenya; southern areas of Somalia; southeastern, central and northeastern Ethiopia; Djibouti; northern and western parts of Sudan; much of southwestern South Sudan; southwestern Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi.
“Cooler than usual temperatures are expected over much of western and northern Kenya extending to adjacent areas of Ethiopia; Uganda, and South Sudan; South Sudan-Sudan border extending to eastern parts of Sudan; northern and eastern Ethiopia extending to central and northern Somalia.” the ICPAC said.
Stakeholders are advised to take mitigation measures to avoid losses of lives and livelihoods.
Rainfall Forecast for July to September
The weatherman says a wetter than usual season continues is to be expected through July, August and September, with much of Sudan expecting higher than usual rain and a drier than usual season is expected in western South Sudan and southern areas of Somalia.
On the temperatures forecast for July to September ICPAC forecasts warmer than usual temperatures are expected over northern parts of Sudan, southwestern and northeastern South Sudan, eastern and coastal Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
“Cooler than usual temperatures are expected over central areas of the region extending to eastern Sudan; northern and eastern Ethiopia; northwestern South Sudan, and southern areas of Sudan.” ICPAC says.
Rainfall Forecast September to November
“Drier than usual conditions are expected over southeastern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, central and eastern Kenya, and along the Red Sea coast of Sudan.” the ICPAC statement says.
According to the ICPAC experts, wetter than usual conditions are expected to continue in the northern part of the region including Eritrea, Sudan, eastern South Sudan and western Ethiopia.
Note: Caution is advised because of the uncertainty in a 6-month advance forecast ending in November.