Weekly Rainfall Forecast 11 – 18 January 2022


Headline: Moderate rainfall is expected in southern Tanzania and Burundi; most areas north of the equator are expected to remain dry. Temperatures are expected to be largely warmer than average in most parts of the region.  

Total Rainfall  

  • Moderate rainfall between 50 – 100 mm is expected in southern Tanzania with a few areas expected to receive up to 200mm rainfall.  
  • Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is expected in central and northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, and a few areas along the Greater Horn of Africa’s coastal strip.  
  • Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, much of South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya, and eastern Uganda.  

Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 litre of water per square meter.  

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • Negative rainfall anomalies (depressed rainfall) are expected in most parts of Tanzania.  
  • Positive rainfall anomalies (enhanced rainfall) are expected in isolated areas of southern Tanzania and south-western South Sudan. 

Temperature Forecast 11 – 18 January 2022
Mean Temperature

  • Moderate temperatures between 20 – 32 ℃ are expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya; much of central and southern Somalia, Djibouti, coastal and western Eritrea, and southern and north-eastern Ethiopia. 
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ are expected over northern Sudan, parts of central Ethiopia and Eritrea, western regions of Rwanda and Burundi; central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and a few areas in Tanzania and south-western Uganda. 

Temperature Anomalies

  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most areas of the region except parts of eastern Kenya and central Somalia where average temperatures are forecasted. 


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here