Poated by Davd Luganda

Between October and December 2022, about 5.6 million people across Somalia are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity classified in Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 or above). Among these, 1,5 million people are classified in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) and 214,000 in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).

In the period between January and March 2023, the number of people facing Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 or above) is expected to increase up to 6. 4 million, of which 1.9 million will be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) and 322,000 in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).

Between April and June 2023, amid anticipated reduction in funding for humanitarian assistance in crucial sectors from April 2023 onwards, approximately 8.3 million people across Somalia, about half the country’s population, are expected to face Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 or above). Among these, 2.7 million people are expected to be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) and 727,000 in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).

Following the commendable response efforts of humanitarian actors and local communities, the food insecurity and acute malnutrition situation has not reached IPC Phase 5 Famine levels in October – December 2022. However, between April and June 2023,  Famine (IPC Phase 5) is projected among agropastoral populations in Baidoa and Burhakaba districts and displaced populations in Baidoa town of Bay region and in Mogadishu.  In addition, several areas and population groups in central and southern Somalia are at risk of Famine.


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